Mike Hudack is a tumblelog.

Already, the spirited competition has sparked some high-level trash talking. At the G-20 summit in Pittsburgh last week, Michelle Obama sat next to the first lady of Brazil, Marisa Letícia Rocco Casa. “I said, you know, ‘I’m going to hug you now and then I’m going after you in Copenhagen,’” the first lady said. “And she said, ‘You, too.’ So gloves are off.

I would hope that Obama wouldn’t go to Copenhagen unless he already knew the result. This is a pretty fundamental rule. When Clinton went to North Korea he knew that he would leave with American citizens in tow. The only way it makes sense for Obama to travel to Copenhagen is if it’s a done deal.